When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

Given the 12- to 18-month lag in rate increases flowing through to the economy, holding rates at elevated levels makes a recession more likely and could deepen and extend the market bottoming process.

Get Wall Street's Hottest Chart Every Morning Recession fears for 2025 are fading fast, with market models and economist forecasts signaling a slim chance of economic contraction. But with ...

The US economy is walking a fine line, and just about anything could push it into a recession or save it with a soft landing. Unfortunately, there are more things pushing in the direction of the ...