The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight.

2025年1月10日 · black swan event, high-impact event that is difficult to predict under normal circumstances but that in retrospect appears to have been inevitable. A black swan event is unexpected and therefore difficult to prepare for but is often rationalized with the benefit of hindsight as having been unavoidable.

2024年9月30日 · A black swan event in the stock market is often a market crash that exceeds six standard deviations, making it exceedingly rare from a probabilistic standpoint.

2022年10月5日 · A black swan event is an unpredictable and rare event with an extreme, paradigm-shifting impact on the wider world. Think of the September 11 attacks, the 2008 financial crisis, and other moments of sudden tragedy and panic that echo throughout history.

2024年10月9日 · A black swan event is a single improbable event with enormously far-reaching consequences. In retrospect, people develop explanations for why the event was predictable -- …

2024年5月22日 · Black swan events are characterized by their extreme rarity, severe impact, and the widespread insistence they were obvious in hindsight.

A black swan event, a phrase commonly used in the world of finance, is an extremely negative event or occurrence that is impossibly difficult to predict. In other words, black swan events are events that are unexpected and unknowable.

2024年12月18日 · A Black Swan Event is an unexpected and highly improbable occurrence that has a widespread impact, often used in the context of finance and societal events. Positive events with high unpredictability, such as success in movies, publishing, scientific research, and venture capital, are referred to as positive black swan events.

2024年9月16日 · A black swan event is a rare and unforeseen event that has a major impact on financial markets and economies. Coined by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the term has gained prominence since the 2008 financial crisis, which Taleb identified as a classic black swan.

2024年11月5日 · Learn how Black Swan events impact financial markets and discover key strategies and practical tips to navigate these unpredictable events.